
Originally Posted by
TIC
canelo's ability to cut off the ring has deteriorated so much i'm starting to think bud might have shot
The nearer the fight gets, the more I’m talking myself into a Bud win. Obviously the underdog, but Canelo has lost twice and both times they were Technically gifted boxers. Bud ticks that box, and also has spite.
The elephant in the room is the weight difference. Yes , it’s a biggie, but the extra weight only works for you if you make the weight work for you. An example , although massively exaggerated is Haye-Valuev.
Standing up against each other, there isn’t much difference size wise and I would guess Crawford even has a reach advantage.
Crawford is notoriously known for being freakishly strong in the gym for his size. My hope is that he has spent this time out of the ring building up his frame and muscle mass sufficiently without losing his advantages (speed, IQ).
Big question marks are.
1. He didn’t look great against Madrimov (who I think is underrated) 2 weights below.
2. He’s no spring chicken and it’s very difficult to make these changes to your body and retain your legs at his age. Make no mistake there are times he will have to dance around the ring, he can’t slug with Canelo for 12 rounds.
3. An unknown , will his chin stand up to Canelo’s power punches? Because sure as shit Canelo will be able to withstand Crawford’s. But nobody is expecting a Bud KO. He just needs enough power to keep Canelo honest, like Floyd and Bivol had.
Let’s not use the Khan fight as any type of yardstick , because it’s chalk and cheese. Khan was already past his best, with a suspect chin and it would’ve been impossible to run for 12 rounds without getting plugged. Even so, he had his moments .
In summary, I accept Canelo is favourite, but I’m going all in and tipping (a bit in hope) a Bud victory. I was one of the very few that felt Canelo had chosen badly when he opted to fight Bivol and got that spot on.
I hope I’m right again.
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